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Web Extension 9.2: Deriving the Logistic Equation

The exponential growth equation (dN/dt = rN) assumes that the population growth rate (r) is constant, which, over long periods of time, is not realistic. Here we drop that assumption and assume instead that r declines in a straight line as density (N) increases.

Mathematically, the equation for a straight line is y = mx + b, where m is the slope of the line and b is the y intercept. In our case, we replace y with r and x with N to draw a straight line in which the population growth rate r decreases as a function of the density N.

Graph of population growth rate (r) and population size (N).

As shown in Figure A, the y intercept is rmax and slope of the line is –rmax/K. Thus, the equation for the decline of r with density is

r = -r max / (KN+r max)

where N is the population density, rmax is the maximum growth rate, and K is the density at which the population growth rate (r) equals zero.

Next, we replace the constant value of r found in exponential growth with the relation we have just derived. This substitution changes the equation dN/dt = rN into the equation

dN/dt = (-r max / (KN+r max))

Finally, if we rearrange the new equation and make it less cumbersome by relabeling rmax as r, we have the logistic equation

dN/dt = rN(1 - N/K)
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